JLRT Class 08?
Jordan said:
I do just wonder if the 'profit margin' (and hence the price) was cut a bit how many more kits might sell... restoring the profit made? As I said I'm no businessman so it probably doesn't work like that at all...
Well, in a way it works exactly like that: working that margin against demand is how any business makes money in a cost effective manner.
The 25% mark up you mentioned seems quite reasonable to me - it is certainly a lot less a markup than you will have paid for many items in the past, however, determining this and the final price is a difficult balancing act. So if a loco kit costs ?500, and there has been a mark-up of 25%, then it cost ?400 to produce it (?100 is 25% of ?400), and there is no way that it can go on the market for ?200. Even if the 25% you have heard reflects the final price, the kit still cannot drop below ?375.
It is not just aboout recovering the invested funds, but recovering them over a reasonable period of time. So, if you were to set up a new business and have loans to pay for equipment, you would want to pay that loan off as quickly as possible (reduces the total amount of interest paid) but to do it all in the first year would be difficult if you had to invest in major tooling, as you also need to generate income for yourself and your staff. You also need to make use of the tooling, which means you have bring out new models at regular intervals to generate the return to pay off the next stage of the loan, and so on. So you work out how many widgets or whatever you are likely to sell over a specified time span (hoping that there will be a good rush when the product goes live) and divide the development costs by that number. On top of this, you add in the real physical production costs (including staff salaries if you wish), and then you have your base cost.
Right, now add in your margin, which is to pay you a salary and also to pay things like your heating, rental/mortgage, plus what you are paying off on your business loan, and you end up with a price.
If you have underestimated demand, then you make more money and could have priced lower, maybe increasing sales and getting the same overall return, but if the margin is 25%, then a 10% reduction in price (using the hypothetical example of ?500 above) requires a 25% increase in sales volumes to generate the same "profit", profit being the money available to pay back loans (including dividends to share holders) and to invest in the business.
If yoou have overestimated demand, then it can be bad news very quickly...
Now, OK by all accounts Pete Waterman is a very welathy man and probably has not had to raise the finance via a bank, but he became wealthy by being a businessman, and he will run JLTRT on business lines. Not speaking for anyone in particular, and certainly not David Parkins (mentioned here solely as his range has been brought up for comparative purposes) but many in our hobby are cottage industries, doing things all by themselves on a part-time basis and often because they wanted something for their own needs, and found batch production to be an effective way of achieving this. If they priced as a full-time business, many would put their prices up, I am sure.
One of the reasons David's kits are priced as they are is his considerable experience in designing and producing components, not just for model railways, either. Quite simply when you buy one of his kits, you are paying very little money for a lot of detail and an enormous amount of expertise. I suspect that his activities in sales to military modelling subsidise his model railway output in ways no one has fully quantified.
Hope that helps.